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Reddit Adjusted Fantasy Football Trade Values Week 2: TE explosion edition
To generate trade values, I combine Harris football (he was late this week) rankings with Fantasypro rankings and apply an algorithm I wrote based on historical values and trends. Next, I average these values with CBS and 4for4values (if applicable) to normalize across the industry. Lastly, I apply a PPR correction factor and create the 0.5 PPR values as well. I generated my functions by using historical data, Reddit Trade threads, and the Yahoo trade market. My goal was to look for crossover points in 1 for 1 player positional trades to generate tiers and normalize across positions. My goal is to incorporate as many sources and experts as possible to eliminate or minimize bias.
As I discussed previously, I believe the experts have a lot of bias towards the top, bottom, and between the positions. I check the comments on the expert's articles every week and see the disapproval and outright anger at some of the rankings. My goal was to try and adjust the values using crowd-sourced data (Reddit+Yahoo) to create better trade values.
Significant Updates:
· Standard chart was broken this week. Will fix for next week
Key Assumption:
12 team: 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 TE/WRB.
FAQ:
“What is the QB value in 2-QB leagues? “
Answer: Double the QB values and it will be close
“What does 10-team league do to values?”
Answer: Smaller league means higher tiered players are worth more. Tiers 1-3 go up and tiers 6-7 have very little value.
“What about 3 WR leagues?”
Answer: WRs value increases due to slight drop in scarcity
“Where are the defenses?
Answer: Defenses don’t matter. Same as kickers. Chicago will likely show up next week
“Why is X player so low?”
Answer: Because you own them and god hates you
“How do I use this chart?”
Answer: Add player values on each side of the trade and compare for fairness. That simple.
"Did you mean to spell X wrong?"
Answer: No, spelling is hard. I do science and stuff
“What about Dynasty, bro?
Answer: Dynasty is a completely different beast. Maybe next year homie
“What about keeper and draft picks?”
Answer: Great Question. I do not know. Keepers change the trade game. I do not factor them in. Draft picks are tough to quantify as well. I think you can estimate a value by averaging the values of the 12 players on the chart corresponding to the round. (Example average players 1-12 to get a first round pick). Then, you would need to weight the value to include rest of season usage and uncertainty in the draft pick next year. So many 50% of the average is what I am guessing. All this is theory.
TL:DR.
Week 2 Images
Week 2 Sheets
u/TheRealMonty used these values to build a website to help with trades. He is doing a lot to improve and expand the website. Check it out!
u/intersecting_lines is the user that made a chrome and firefox extension using these values. He or she is the real MVP!
If you would like the trade charts Tuesday night, make sure to join me on pateron.
If you like my analysis, feel it has added value to your life, and would like to donate; you could do it at Paypal(paypal.me/peakedinhighskool). You can also Venmo me @peakedinhighskool
Proceeds will go to crippling student loan debt and booze (probably in that order)
If you are interested in extra ranks and/or updated/continuous ranks, including injury update; support me on Patreon(patreon.com/Peakedinhighskool) I include notes and some of my opinions on key players
-PeakedinHighSkool
Reddit Adjusted Fantasy Football Trade Values Week 6
To generate trade values, I combine Harris football rankings with Fantasypro rankings and apply an algorithm I wrote based on historical values and trends. Next, I average these values with CBS and 4for4 values (if applicable) to normalize across the industry. Lastly, I apply a PPR correction factor and create the 0.5 PPR values as well. I generated my functions by using historical data, Reddit Trade threads, and the Yahoo trade market. My goal was to look for crossover points in 1 for 1 player positional trades to generate tiers and normalize across positions. My goal is to incorporate as many sources and experts as possible to eliminate or minimize bias.
As I discussed previously, I believe the experts have a lot of bias towards the top, bottom, and between the positions. I check the comments on the expert's articles every week and see the disapproval and outright anger at some of the rankings. My goal was to try and adjust the values using crowd-sourced data (Reddit+Yahoo) to create better trade values.
Significant Updates:
Updated PPR multiplier values
Key Assumption:
12 team: 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 TE/WRB.
FAQ:
“Where are the standard or PPR values? “
Answer: Change the tab or the spreadsheet, or scroll down on the image.
“What is the QB value in 2-QB leagues? “
Answer: Double the QB values and it will be close
“What does 10-team league do to values?”
Answer: Smaller league means higher tiered players are worth more. Tiers 1-3 go up and tiers 6-7 have very little value.
“What about 3 WR leagues?”
Answer: WRs value increases due to slight drop in scarcity
“Where are the defenses?
Answer: Defenses don’t matter to the experts. Patriots and Bears have value. Hard to quantify
“Why is X player so low?”
Answer: Because you own them and god hates you
“How do I use this chart?”
Answer: Add player values on each side of the trade and compare for fairness. That simple.
"Did you mean to spell X wrong?"
Answer: No, spelling is hard. I do science and stuff
“What about Dynasty, bro?
Answer: Dynasty is a completely different beast. Maybe next year homie
“What about keeper and draft picks?”
Answer: Great Question. I do not know. Keepers change the trade game. I do not factor them in. Draft picks are tough to quantify as well. I think you can estimate a value by averaging the values of the 12 players on the chart corresponding to the round. (Example average players 1-12 to get a first round pick). Then, you would need to weight the value to include rest of season usage and uncertainty in the draft pick next year. So many 50% of the average is what I am guessing. All this is theory.
TL:DR.
Week 6 Images
Week 6 Sheets
u/TheRealMonty used these values to build a website to help with trades. He is doing a lot to improve and expand the website. Check it out!
u/intersecting_lines is the user that made a chrome and firefox extension using these values. They are super helpful!
If you are interested in extra ranks and/or updated/continuous ranks, including injury update; support me on Patreon(patreon.com/Peakedinhighskool) I include notes and some of my opinions on key players
If you like my analysis, feel it has added value to your life, and would like to donate; you could do it at Paypal(paypal.me/peakedinhighskool). You can also Venmo me @peakedinhighskool
Proceeds will go to crippling student loan debt and booze (probably in that order)
Have another great week of football,
-PeakedinHighSkool
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